美情报总监预警伊朗图谋 美方撤离驻沙特外交家属并缩减驻军US Orders Saudi Departures and Trims Troops After Intel Memo Warns of Iranian Plots

美国国家情报总监杰伊·克莱顿在10月23日发送给国务卿马尔科·卢比奥的解密备忘录中指出，多渠道获取的情报表明，伊朗针对美国人员的图谋已显著增加，相关致命行动在中东以及部分其他国家已经发展到后期阶段。该备忘录同时抄送了中央情报局局长约翰·拉特克利夫，相关评估内容最初由Axios披露并获得多家媒体证实。

Director of National Intelligence Jay Clayton warned in an unclassified memorandum sent to Secretary of State Marco Rubio on October 23 that U.S. intelligence obtained across multiple channels indicates Iran has substantially increased efforts to target American personnel. The document stated that Iranian lethal plotting efforts against U.S. citizens have reached advanced stages both in the Middle East and in certain other countries. Central Intelligence Agency Director John Ratcliffe was copied on the memo, the existence and contents of which were first reported by Axios and subsequently confirmed by U.S. officials.

克莱顿在备忘录中说明，文件并未指明具体的袭击目标、行动所在国，也未判定袭击是否迫在眉睫。为了让国务院系统能够迅速应对潜在威胁，情报界正在加速推进对涉密信息的降密处理程序，以便卢比奥能够将关键威胁通报在国务院内部更广泛地传阅与共享。一名美国官员随后证实，持续评估的安全动态直接影响了涉及限制行动状态使馆的人员编制决策。

Clayton stated in the memorandum that intelligence agencies are actively working to downgrade sensitive findings so that Rubio can broadly disseminate the threat assessments among State Department personnel. The declassified memo did not pinpoint specific operational targets or individual host nations, nor did it state whether attacks are imminent. A U.S. official confirmed that evolving assessments regarding Iranian terror plots and Houthi strikes directly inform the department's ongoing staffing reviews at regional diplomatic posts under restricted operations status.

美国国务院本周正式对沙特阿拉伯下达撤离命令，要求驻沙特的所有非紧急政府雇员及其家属离境。针对外界关于撤离范围涉及整个海湾地区的传言，国务院发言人汤米·皮戈特予以否认并澄清相关说法并不准确，强调正式的下令撤离程序仅适用于沙特阿拉伯境内人员。知情官员证实，针对沙特的外交撤离指令是因应也门胡塞武装近期对沙特发动的密集袭击而作出的应对举措。

The U.S. State Department this week formally issued an ordered departure for non-emergency government personnel and their family members stationed in Saudi Arabia. Addressing external reports suggesting a broader diplomatic evacuation across the Gulf region, State Department spokesperson Tommy Pigott said claims of a wider regional shutdown were inaccurate and confirmed that the departure directive specifically applies to Saudi Arabia. Officials stated that the mandate was executed in direct response to the escalating wave of attacks launched by Yemeni Houthi forces against the kingdom.

在沙特实施公开撤离的同时，美国国务院维持了对黎巴嫩、阿拉伯联合酋长国、卡塔尔以及约旦使馆的“限制行动状态”，并在该机制下悄悄下调了驻外使馆的人员编制上限。国务院官员证实，上述四国使馆在限制行动状态下将面临临时性人员规模调整，相关变动并未对外发布公开公告。与此相对，科威特和巴林驻外使团的人员配置保持不变，显示两处使馆的驻留规模尚未超出核定的编制上限。

Alongside the public withdrawal directive in Saudi Arabia, the State Department maintained restricted operations status for embassies in Lebanon, the United Arab Emirates, Qatar, and Jordan, while quietly reducing staffing caps at those posts. A State Department official confirmed that diplomatic facilities across those four countries will see temporary staffing level adjustments, noting that these internal moves have not been publicly announced. By contrast, personnel levels at U.S. diplomatic missions in Kuwait and Bahrain remain unchanged, indicating that staffing at those locations does not exceed authorized ceilings.

也门胡塞武装针对沙特阿拉伯石油基础设施和民用机场发动了持续密集的无人机与导弹打击，成为促使美方下达撤离指令的直接导火索。10月10日，胡塞武装对利雅得哈立德国王国际机场发起导弹袭击，造成13人死亡、308人受伤，其中包括一名遇难的美国公民，这是沙特阿拉伯十多年来伤亡最惨重的一次单次袭击事件。沙特当局官方统计显示，自10月初以来，胡塞武装对沙特境内机场的一系列袭击已累计导致至少21人死亡。

Intensifying drone and missile attacks launched by Yemen's Iran-backed Houthi movement against Saudi Arabian oil infrastructure and civilian airports served as the direct catalyst for the State Department's ordered departure. On October 10, a missile strike on Riyadh's King Khalid International Airport killed 13 people and injured 308 others—including an American citizen—marking the deadliest single strike inside Saudi Arabia in more than a decade. According to official figures released by Saudi authorities, repeated Houthi attacks against the kingdom's airports have killed at least 21 people since the beginning of October.

胡塞武装声称，针对沙特的军事行动是为了报复沙特对也门港口和机场实施的封锁，以及沙特对萨那机场实施的空袭。也门长达四年的非正式停火在今年7月宣告破裂，胡塞武装当时单方面对沙特阿拉伯宣布实施“海上封锁”并重启跨境空袭，也门卫生部门统计称停火破裂后已有约155名也门平民丧生。美国国务院对此警告称，胡塞武装对沙特发动的敌对行动具有迅速向周边区域蔓延扩散的高度风险。

Houthi leaders stated that their cross-border strikes against Saudi Arabia are direct retaliation for what they describe as a Saudi blockade of ports and airports under their control, as well as an airstrike on Sanaa airport blamed on the kingdom. A four-year informal ceasefire completely unraveled in July when the Houthis declared a maritime embargo against Saudi Arabia and resumed missile and drone barrages, with the Houthi-run health ministry reporting that approximately 155 civilians in Yemen have been killed since hostilities resumed. The State Department has cautioned that these expanding hostilities have the potential to escalate rapidly beyond the immediate conflict theater.

突如其来的撤离令使众多美国外交官及其家庭陷入混乱，许多人员在早前冲突高峰期撤离后才刚刚重返驻地。美国外交人员协会发言人妮基·盖默指出，一些家庭几乎刚重新安顿下来就再次被勒令离开，成员感到困惑、沮丧和愤怒。有外交官反映政府提供的津贴无法覆盖全家搬离的实际开销，国务院官员随后则澄清称，所有直接雇用的美方人员与家属均享有符合当地标准的住宿、子女入学支持与每日津贴。

The abrupt departure orders have triggered disruption and frustration among American diplomats and their families, many of whom had only recently returned to Middle Eastern postings following initial evacuations during earlier hostilities. American Foreign Service Association spokesperson Nikki Gamer stated that affected families had barely settled back in before receiving instructions to depart again, leaving them upset, confused, and angry. While some diplomats expressed frustration that financial assistance fell short of relocation costs, a State Department official countered that all direct-hire employees and dependents receive standard government per diem rates along with lodging and educational support.

除了使馆人员流动外，美国一名官员与一名美军高级官员证实，军方已针对持续存在的威胁悄悄削减了中东各处岗位的驻军规模。与此形成对照的是，美国总统特朗普在佛罗里达州的竞选集会上表示，若德黑兰在谈判中未能达成协议，美方可能在11月中期选举后重启军事打击，暗示可能再度实施类似2月“史诗之怒”的军事行动，知情人士还透露以色列此前亦曾游说美方采取更为直接的行动。

Beyond diplomatic shifts, a U.S. official and a senior military official confirmed that the Pentagon has been quietly trimming its operational footprint across Middle Eastern bases in response to persistent threats. These defensive postures unfold against escalating rhetoric from President Donald Trump, who suggested at a Florida campaign rally that the administration could resume military strikes against Iran after next month's midterm elections if negotiations stall, alluding to another campaign modeled on February's Operation Epic Fury while sources noted Israel has unsuccessfully pushed for immediate military action.