特朗普称伊朗战争“接近结束”并预言股市大涨，参议院再次否决战争权力决议Trump Claims Iran War Is 'Close to Over' as Senate Rejects New War Powers Limit

参议院对战争权力决议的投票结果为47票赞成、52票反对，投票过程基本呈现出鲜明的党派对立态势。共和党人再次成功阻止了民主党限制总统军事权限的努力。值得注意的是，肯塔基州共和党参议员兰德·保罗（Rand Paul）是唯一投票支持该决议的共和党人，而宾夕法尼亚州民主党参议员约翰·费特曼（John Fetterman）则是唯一投票反对该决议的民主党人。这种投票格局反映了国会在如何约束行政部门动武权力问题上的长期僵局。

The Senate vote on the War Powers resolution concluded with a 47-52 tally, falling largely along party lines as Republicans once again blocked Democratic efforts to rein in the president's military authority. In a rare break from party unity, Senator Rand Paul (R-Ky.) was the sole Republican to support the measure, while Senator John Fetterman (D-Pa.) stood as the only Democrat to vote against it. This outcome underscores the persistent legislative gridlock in Washington regarding the extent of executive power in conducting foreign conflicts.

特朗普在采访中坚称，伊朗正处于崩溃边缘，并极度渴望达成协议。他表示：“我们将拭目以待，但我认为他们非常想达成交易。”然而，这种乐观情绪与他此前激进的言论形成了对比。在停火协议达成之前，特朗普曾多次威胁要打击伊朗的民用基础设施。他在4月7日甚至宣称，如果冲突升级，一个“完整的文明将会消亡”。这种极端言辞不仅引发了国际社会的广泛担忧，也成为了国会推动限制其战争权力的主要动因之一。

In his interview, Trump maintained that Iran is on the brink of collapse and eager to negotiate, stating, "We'll see what happens, I think they want to make a deal very badly." However, this optimism contrasts sharply with his previous aggressive rhetoric. Prior to the current pause in fighting, Trump repeatedly threatened to strike Iranian civilian infrastructure. His April 7 warning that a "whole civilization will die" if the conflict escalated sparked international alarm and served as a primary catalyst for the renewed push in Congress to limit his military capabilities.

尽管特朗普对战争前景持乐观态度，但他在国内外的支持基础正面临挑战。根据NPR观察到的佐治亚州摇摆选民焦点小组显示，选民对特朗普处理伊朗战争的方式普遍感到不满，这场持续的冲突正在拖累他的支持率。在国际舞台上，特朗普与长期盟友、意大利总理乔治亚·梅洛尼的关系也降至冰点。梅洛尼此前批评特朗普对教皇利奥十四世的抨击是“不可接受的”，且未能在伊朗战争中提供全力支持。特朗普对此公开表达了失望，称他曾以为梅洛尼很有勇气，但现在发现自己“错了”。

Despite Trump's positive outlook, his support base is showing signs of strain both at home and abroad. A focus group of swing voters in Georgia, observed by NPR, revealed broad displeasure with the president's handling of the Iran war, which has begun to weigh down his approval ratings. Internationally, Trump's relationship with Italian Premier Giorgia Meloni—once a close ally—has deteriorated. Meloni called Trump's criticisms of Pope Leo XIV "unacceptable" and declined to fully back the U.S. military stance in Iran. Trump decried her stance in an interview with Corriere della Sera, stating he was "wrong" about her having courage.

• 佐治亚州摇摆选民对特朗普处理战争的方式表示强烈不满。
• 意大利总理梅洛尼因拒绝支持战争及维护教皇而与特朗普产生隔阂。
• 部分欧洲民族主义者开始与特朗普的伊朗政策保持距离。

• Georgia swing voters expressed broad displeasure with Trump's war management.
• Italian PM Meloni distanced herself from Trump over the war and his papal criticisms.
• Some European nationalist allies are distancing themselves from Trump's Iran policy.