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瑞典大选投票展开:极右翼政党谋求首次入阁执政Swedes Vote in Tight General Election as Far Right Eyes First Government Role

瑞典约800万合资格选民在9月13日的大选中投票,半数已提前完成投票,安德松领导的中左翼与克里斯特松执政右翼联盟陷入势均力敌的胶着对决。
Around eight million eligible Swedish voters cast ballots on September 13 in a dead-heat race between Magdalena Andersson's center-left opposition and Ulf Kristersson's governing right-wing bloc, with roughly half voting in advance.
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瑞典大选投票展开:极右翼政党谋求首次入阁执政
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2026年9月13日,瑞典举行新一届大选,约800万选民前往投票站或已通过提前投票决定国家政治走向。前首相玛格达莱娜·安德松领导的中左翼社会民主党阵营此前在民调中长期保持领先,但在选战最后阶段优势急剧收窄,与现任首相乌尔夫·克里斯特松领导的执政右翼联盟陷入势均力敌的胶着状态。 这场选举的关键焦点在于极右翼政党瑞典民主党能否首次进入内阁执政。克里斯特松此前已明确表示,若右翼阵营获胜,将向瑞典民主党开放关键内阁职务,党魁吉米·奥克松预计将掌管移民事务部门。社会民主党等中左翼力量主张强化福利体系并缓解家庭生活成本压力,而克里斯特松领导的右翼联盟则主打打击有组织犯罪和大幅收紧移民政策的治理成效。两派阵营势均力敌的对决,直接决定了瑞典未来四年的政策基调与执政格局。

Swedes headed to the polls on September 13, 2026, in a pivotal general election that will determine whether the center-left opposition reclaims power or a far-right party enters the national government for the first time. Around eight million voters are eligible to take part, with roughly half having already cast advance ballots. While the four-party center-left bloc led by former Prime Minister Magdalena Andersson maintained a comfortable polling lead for months, the margin narrowed to a dead heat against incumbent Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's right-wing alliance in the final days of campaigning. At stake is the formal government entry of the anti-immigration Sweden Democrats, led by Jimmie Akesson, who is expected to take over the migration portfolio if Kristersson's conservative coalition retains power. Andersson's Social Democrats campaigned on strengthening the welfare system and easing the cost-of-living burden on households, whereas Kristersson's bloc pointed to its record of reducing organized crime and curbing asylum numbers. The outcome will decide the leadership of the Scandinavian nation and the composition of its next administration.

Swedes Vote in Tight General Election as Far Right Eyes First Government Role
2026年9月13日,瑞典选民在恩雪平的一处投票站参与大选投票。
Voters cast their ballots at a polling station in Enkoping, Sweden, on September 13, 2026.

01大选投票展开与胶着的选情民调Voting Begins Amid a Tightening Race

瑞典各地的投票站于当地时间9月13日早晨8时(格林尼治标准时间6时)正式向选民开放。在全国1060万总人口中,约有800万登记选民具备本次大选的投票资格。瑞典选民向来保持着超过80%的传统高投票率,而在本次正式投票日之前,已有大约半数选民通过提前投票渠道完成了选票填报。

Polling stations opened across Sweden at 8:00 a.m. local time (06:00 GMT) on Sunday, September 13, launching a pivotal vote in a country of 10.6 million people where roughly eight million citizens are eligible to participate. Sweden routinely records voter turnout exceeding 80 percent, and approximately half of the electorate had already submitted advance ballots before election day commenced.

前首相兼社会民主党领袖玛格达莱娜·安德松是清晨最早完成投票的选民之一,她在斯德哥尔摩以南纳卡市镇的一所学校与丈夫一同参与了投票。选前各项长期民调曾预测安德松挂帅的四党中左翼联盟将稳获优势,但这一领先差距在选战冲刺阶段被执政右翼阵营大幅抹平,双方民意支持度最终在投票日当天演变成为极度胶着的胶着对决。

Opposition leader Magdalena Andersson of the center-left Social Democrats was among the earliest to cast her ballot, voting alongside her husband at a school in her home municipality of Nacka, located south of Stockholm. Pre-election surveys had consistently projected an outright victory for Andersson's four-party opposition alliance over Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's governing right-wing bloc, yet that multi-point lead narrowed significantly in the closing weeks of campaigning, pulling both political camps into an effective dead heat as voting got underway.

现在由瑞典选民来做决定:他们是想要一个完全由瑞典民主党主导的政府,还是想要一个由我领导的政府?

Now it's up to voters: do they want a government that will be totally dominated by the Sweden Democrats, or do they want a government led by me?

玛格达莱娜·安德松,瑞典社会民主党党魁兼前首相
Magdalena Andersson, Social Democratic Party leader and former prime minister of Sweden

02极右翼瑞典民主党的入阁前景与角色转变Far-Right Sweden Democrats Eye First Government Role

瑞典民主党在2010年首次跨过门槛进入瑞典议会,并在2022年大选中赢得20.5%的选票,跃升为右翼阵营中的最大政党。过去四年间,乌尔夫·克里斯特松领导的三党少数派中右翼联盟通过达成协议,依靠该党在议会提供外部信任投票来维持执政多数,瑞典民主党也借此对移民与打击犯罪政策施加直接影响。

The Sweden Democrats first entered parliament in 2010 and secured 20.5 percent of the vote in the 2022 general election, emerging as the largest single party within the right-wing bloc. Over the subsequent four-year term, Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson's three-party minority center-right coalition relied on an external support agreement with the anti-immigration party to command a parliamentary majority, granting the group substantial sway over national immigration and law-and-order policies.

克里斯特松已在4月明确宣布,只要右翼联盟在此次大选中守住多数席位,其领导的温和党将允许瑞典民主党正式入阁,但他本人仍将出任首相。执掌该党超过二十年的47岁党魁吉米·奥克松预计将接管移民事务部门。奥克松在斯德哥尔摩国王花园举行的最后一场竞选集会上向支持者宣称该党已取得胜利,并强调瑞典正在变得更加安全与美好。

Kristersson confirmed in April that his conservative Moderates would formally open cabinet posts to the Sweden Democrats if the right-wing alliance retains a majority, while maintaining that he would continue serving as prime minister. Jimmie Akesson, who has led the party for more than two decades, is widely expected to take over the migration portfolio. Speaking to supporters at a final election rally in Stockholm's Kungstradgarden Park, the 47-year-old party leader declared victory and told crowds that Sweden was becoming safer and better.

我们已经赢了!瑞典正在变得更安全、更好、更具瑞典特色。

We've already won! Sweden is becoming safer, better, and more Swedish.

吉米·奥克松,瑞典民主党领袖
Jimmie Akesson, leader of the Sweden Democrats

03左右阵营的核心竞选主张与对决焦点Competing Agendas: Welfare vs. Crime and Immigration

在20世纪绝大部分时间里长期执政的社会民主党,在本次竞选中将强化福利国家建设作为核心政策诉求。安德松及其领导的中左翼联盟主张增加公共支持,以帮助面临生活成本上涨压力的瑞典家庭渡过难关,并呼吁在新的合作精神下治理国家。

The Social Democrats, who governed Sweden for most of the twentieth century, anchored their campaign in pledges to expand the welfare state. Opposition leader Magdalena Andersson and her center-left coalition focused on providing financial relief to struggling households facing higher living costs, presenting their platform as an effort to steer the country through renewed cooperation.

谋求连任的首相克里斯特松则将竞选重点放在治理成效上。瑞典在过去十余年间持续遭遇有组织犯罪团伙的致命枪击与爆炸袭击,克里斯特松政府强调其严厉打击有组织犯罪已使暴力事件显著减少,同时避难申请数量也降至历史低点。右翼联盟支持者认为胜选表明选民认可这一路线,而批评者则指责相关举措侵蚀了公民自由并对移民群体造成不公。

Seeking a second four-year term, Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson oriented his campaign around his administration's law-and-order record. After more than a decade of deadly shootings and bombings tied to organized criminal gangs across Sweden, Kristersson highlighted that violent crime has decreased significantly and asylum applications have fallen to record lows under his coalition's policies. While right-wing supporters argue an election win validates these strict measures, critics contend the security and immigration crackdown undermines civil liberties and unfairly targets immigrants.

我们希望利用全新且大为改善的前提条件来改善普通民众的生活……让瑞典再次伟大。

We want to use our new and far better preconditions to improve the lives of ordinary people ... to make Sweden great again.

瑞典首相乌尔夫·克里斯特松接受法新社采访
Swedish Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson to AFP

04投票时间安排与后续计票展望Polling Schedule and Outcome Timeline

瑞典各地的投票站定于当地时间9月13日晚间8时(格林尼治标准时间18时)正式停止接受投票。随着选民投票通道关闭,各大媒体与民调机构预计将在第一时间发布基于现场调查的出口民调预测,为外界提供初步的阵营支持率与席位走势预判。

Polling stations across Sweden are scheduled to close at 8:00 p.m. local time (18:00 GMT) on Sunday evening, bringing in-person voting to an end. Broadcasters and polling organizations are expected to publish exit poll projections immediately upon the closure of voting stations, offering the first formal indications of party support and parliamentary seat distribution across the country.

鉴于本次大选中约有半数选民已经提前完成了选票提交,相关选票将与投票日当天的现存选票一同汇总进入正式计票程序。根据瑞典选举部门的常规流程,首批具备统计可靠性的初步计票结果预计将在投票站关闭数小时后的周日深夜陆续出炉,届时两派阵营谁将占据议会多数将得到进一步厘清。

Because roughly half of the eligible electorate cast their ballots in advance before election day, election officials will process and verify those early submissions alongside regular Sunday in-person votes. According to election timetables, the first reliable and definitive preliminary results are anticipated to emerge several hours later on Sunday night, clarifying whether the center-left opposition or the governing right-wing alliance commands the majority needed to form Sweden's next government.

瑞典大选投票展开:极右翼政党谋求首次入阁执政