Polymarket 撤回美军飞行员搜救预测市场并致歉Polymarket Removes Wagers on U.S. Service Member Rescue Mission in Iran

预测市场平台 Polymarket 于 2026 年 4 月 4 日撤销了涉及美军服役人员在伊朗搜救行动的相关赌注，并针对允许此类预测市场的行为正式致歉。此前，一架美国 F-15E 战斗机于周五在伊朗上空被击落，导致两名机组人员失踪。虽然其中一名成员已获救，但另一名飞行员目前仍下落不明。该平台曾允许用户就美国确认两名飞行员获救的具体日期进行投注，此举引发了公众和政界的强烈谴责。 此次撤回行动是在面临巨大政治压力的情况下进行的，反映出预测市场在涉及敏感军事行动和人员生命安全时所面临的日益严峻的监管与道德审查。马萨诸塞州民主党众议员塞斯·莫尔顿对该市场表示强烈谴责，称其行为“令人作呕”。他指出，这些飞行员可能是任何人的邻居、朋友或家人，而平台却允许人们就他们的生死安危进行博弈。Polymarket 随后关闭了相关讨论论坛并承认了这一行为的不当性。

The prediction market platform Polymarket removed wagers related to the rescue mission of U.S. military service members in Iran and issued a formal apology on April 4, 2026. The move followed the downing of a U.S. F-15E fighter jet over Iran on Friday, which left two crew members missing. While one member has been rescued, another remains unaccounted for. The platform had allowed users to bet on the specific day the U.S. would confirm the rescue of the airmen, sparking intense public and political backlash. The removal occurred amid mounting political pressure, highlighting the increasing regulatory and ethical scrutiny faced by prediction markets when dealing with sensitive military operations and human lives. Rep. Seth Moulton, D-Mass., decried the market as "DISGUSTING," emphasizing that the service members are neighbors, friends, and family members whose safety should not be subject to gambling. Polymarket subsequently shut down the related forum and acknowledged the lapse in judgment regarding the fate of the downed pilots.