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政治POLITICSFrance 2437d 前37d ago

真实性与现代党赢得摩洛哥议会选举Morocco's Authenticity and Modernity Party Wins Parliamentary Election

内政部公布正式结果显示该党在395席中赢得97席,因未达198席法定绝对多数需组建联合政府。
Official results show the party won 97 of 395 parliamentary seats, requiring coalition negotiations after falling short of an outright majority.
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真实性与现代党赢得摩洛哥议会选举
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摩洛哥内政部周五公布的最终选举结果显示,真实性与现代党(PAM)在众议院395个席位中赢得97席,成为议会第一大党。根据摩洛哥宪法,国王穆罕默德六世必须从获得最多席位的政党中任命首相。由于真实性与现代党未达到198席的绝对多数门槛,该党必须与其他党派协商组建执政联盟以建立多数政府。 在其他主要政党中,执政联盟主要伙伴全国独立人士联盟(RNI)席位从102席降至66席,温和伊斯兰政党正义与发展党(PJD)席位增至54席并表示将留任反对党。本次选举在全国1580万登记选民中仅录得38%的投票率,为1999年国王穆罕默德六世即位以来的第二低水平。分析师指出,这一低投票率与青年群体对就业、医疗与教育问题的抗议,以及近期移民事件带来的民众疏离感相关。新一届政府将负责管理数十亿美元投资,推进摩洛哥与西班牙、葡萄牙共同主办2030年世界杯的筹备工作。

Morocco's Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM) secured the most seats in the country's parliamentary election, winning 97 of the 395 seats in the House of Representatives according to final results announced by the Ministry of Interior on Friday. Under the Moroccan constitution, King Mohammed VI must appoint a prime minister from the party winning the most seats. Because PAM fell short of the 198 seats required for an outright majority, it must negotiate a coalition with other political parties to form a governing majority. Among other major parties, senior coalition partner National Rally of Independents (RNI) saw its representation drop from 102 to 66 seats, while the moderate Islamist Justice and Development Party (PJD) grew to 54 seats and announced it will remain in opposition. Voter turnout stood at 38 percent across 15.8 million registered voters, marking the second-lowest participation level since King Mohammed VI took the throne in 1999. Analysts linked the subdued turnout to public disengagement following youth-led protests over jobs, healthcare, and education, alongside recent migrant events. The incoming government will oversee billions of dollars in investments as Morocco prepares to co-host the 2030 World Cup with Spain and Portugal.

Morocco's Authenticity and Modernity Party Wins Parliamentary Election
真实性与现代党成员法蒂玛·埃扎赫拉·曼苏里,她是新任首相的潜在人选之一。
Fatima Ezzahra Mansouri, a member of the Authenticity and Modernity Party (PAM), is considered a potential candidate for the next prime minister.

01真实性与现代党获胜但未获绝对多数PAM Wins Plurality but Falls Short of Outright Majority

摩洛哥内政部周五公布的正式计票结果显示,执政联盟成员真实性与现代党在众议院395个议席中获得97席,确立了其在议会下院的第一大党地位。该党由国王穆罕默德六世的好友兼王室顾问福阿德·阿里·埃尔·希马于2008年创立,长期以来在摩洛哥政坛作为对抗温和伊斯兰势力的亲王室力量开展政治运作。

Official tally results announced by Morocco's Ministry of Interior on Friday confirmed that the Authenticity and Modernity Party, a current governing coalition member, secured 97 seats in the 395-member House of Representatives. Founded in 2008 by royal adviser Fouad Ali El Himma, a friend of King Mohammed VI, the monarchy-aligned party has long functioned across the country's political landscape as an establishment counterweight to moderate Islamist political organizations.

依据摩洛哥宪法程序,国王穆罕默德六世必须从赢得最多席位的政党内部指定新任首相。然而,由于真实性与现代党的最终议席数远低于组建单独多数政府所需的198席法定门槛,该党必须通过跨党派组阁谈判来联合其他政治力量,以确保在议会中获得推行政策所需的绝对多数支持。

Under the provisions of Morocco's constitution, King Mohammed VI is required to select the incoming prime minister directly from the political party that finishes with the largest share of parliamentary seats. Because the party's total falls substantially below the 198 seats necessary for a standalone legislative majority, the winning leadership must engage in cross-party negotiations with other political groups to assemble a governing coalition capable of passing legislation in the lower house.

02政党席位变动与执政联盟组建预期Shifting Parliamentary Seats and Coalition Prospects

在本次议会选举中,温和伊斯兰政党正义与发展党实现了席位反弹,其议席数量从2021年选举中的13席增长四倍至54席。该党此前曾领导摩洛哥政府长达十年。鉴于正义与发展党与真实性与现代党之间长期存在的政治竞争,两党组建联合政府的可能性较低,正义与发展党已明确表示将继续以反对党身份开展议会活动。

The parliamentary election saw a resurgence for the moderate Islamist Justice and Development Party, which quadrupled its legislative presence from 13 seats in the 2021 election to 54 seats. The party, which had previously headed Morocco's government for a decade before its previous electoral setback, faces an unlikely prospect of entering a governing partnership with the Authenticity and Modernity Party due to their longstanding rivalry. Party leadership has stated that the organization intends to remain in opposition within the newly constituted lower house.

与此同时,真实性与现代党在现届政府中的主要联盟伙伴全国独立人士联盟遭受损失,其议会席位由上届的102席降至66席。在正义与发展党决定留任反对党后,真实性与现代党预计将转向排名第三的保皇派独立党以及其他党派进行协商,以筹组具备议会多数支持的联合政府。

Meanwhile, senior coalition partner National Rally of Independents lost significant ground in the vote, dropping from 102 seats down to 66 seats. With the Justice and Development Party remaining on the opposition benches, the Authenticity and Modernity Party is expected to turn toward the monarchist Istiqlal party, which finished in third place, alongside other parliamentary groups to assemble the required governing majority.

03投票率创低位及选民情绪分析Low Voter Turnout and Underlying Public Frustration

在摩洛哥全境1580万登记选民中,本次选举的实际投票率仅为38%,远低于2021年议会选举中记录的大约51%。这一数据成为自国王穆罕默德六世于1999年登基即位以来第二低的选民参与纪录,仅略高于2007年选举中创下的37%的历史最低水平。

Voter participation in the parliamentary election dropped sharply, with only 38 percent of Morocco's 15.8 million registered voters casting ballots. This turnout figure marks a steep decline from the approximately 51 percent participation recorded in the 2021 election. It stands as the second-lowest voter turnout recorded since King Mohammed VI ascended the throne in 1999, surpassing only the record low of 37 percent observed during the 2007 legislative elections.

政治分析人士将选民参与度的大幅下滑归因于广泛存在的社会疏离情绪。过去一年中,摩洛哥青年群体针对就业困难、公共医疗短缺以及教育资源问题发起了一系列抗议活动。此外,今年7月发生的移民群体试图越境前往西班牙位于北非的飞地休达并造成人员死亡的严重事件,也加剧了民众对经济民生状况的不满。

Political analysts attributed the subdued turnout to widespread public disengagement driven by ongoing domestic socioeconomic challenges. Over the past year, youth-led protests broke out across the country over severe shortages of jobs, deficits in public healthcare, and educational conditions. Frustrations were further compounded by deadly mass attempts by migrants in July to breach the border into Spain's North African enclave of Ceuta, reflecting deep public dissatisfaction with local economic realities.

04新政府领导人选与2030世界杯筹备挑战Prime Ministerial Candidates and 2030 World Cup Governance

真实性与现代党赢得选举后,摩洛哥首相职务的潜在人选浮出水面。党内候选人包括摩洛哥足球联合会主席兼预算大臣福齐·莱克贾,以及现任马拉喀什市长兼国家规划、城市规划、住房和城市政策大臣法蒂玛·埃扎赫拉·曼苏里。若曼苏里获得国王穆罕默德六世的正式任命,她将成为摩洛哥历史上首位担任首相职务的女性政治家。

Following the election victory of the Authenticity and Modernity Party, attention has shifted to potential nominees for the prime minister's post. Prominent candidates within the party include Fouzi Lekjaa, who serves as the head of Morocco's football federation and budget minister, alongside Fatima Ezzahra Mansouri, who currently holds office as the mayor of Marrakech and minister of national planning, urban planning, housing and urban policy. If selected by King Mohammed VI, Mansouri would become the first woman in Morocco's history to serve as prime minister.

新一届内阁组建后将面临重大的国家治理任务,核心职责之一是主持管理数十亿美元的公共与基础设施投资。摩洛哥正推进与西班牙、葡萄牙联合举办2030年世界杯的各项筹备工作。新内阁需要在落实大型赛事建设项目投资的同时,妥善应对公众对国内经济状况与社会民生服务的关注与诉求。

The incoming administration will take on substantial governance responsibilities, centered on managing billions of dollars in infrastructure and public investment. Morocco is actively preparing to co-host the 2030 World Cup alongside Spain and Portugal. The next cabinet will be tasked with directing these massive tournament-related financial allocations and development projects while navigating persistent domestic economic demands and public expectations regarding basic services.

真实性与现代党赢得摩洛哥议会选举