基民盟在德国两州选举惨败 默茨称结果为“灾难”但坚拒辞职German Chancellor Merz Rejects Resignation Calls After Double State Election Defeat

在2026年9月20日举行的两场地方选举中，梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州与柏林市的投票计票结果显示执政党基民盟遭遇重挫。位于德国东北部的梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州，极右翼德国选择党获得约38.2%的选票名列首位，社民党以约35%至35.5%的得票率位居第二。而基民盟在该州仅获得4.9%的选票，由于未能达到阻止边缘政党进入议会的5%法定门槛，该党在战后历史上首次彻底失去州议会席位，创下该党在各州选举中的最差表现。

Vote tallies from the regional elections held on September 20, 2026, confirmed substantial setbacks for the ruling Christian Democratic Union in both Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania and the city-state of Berlin. In northeastern Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the far-right Alternative for Germany took first place with 38.2% of the vote, followed by the center-left Social Democrats with roughly 35% to 35.5%. The CDU captured just 4.9% of the ballot, falling short of the mandatory 5% electoral threshold designed to exclude fringe factions and crashing out of the regional parliament for the first time in postwar German history.

在首都柏林州议会选举中，左翼党以25.7%的得票率位列第一，取得了该党在柏林的历史最好成绩，较基民盟高出约7个百分点。基民盟得票率下滑至18%至19%之间，预计在后续组阁谈判完成后将不得不让出柏林市政厅的执政权；同时，极右翼德国选择党在柏林的得票率也上升至16.3%左右。

In the capital of Berlin, the left-wing Die Linke party achieved its best-ever performance by securing first place with a 25.7% vote share, finishing roughly seven percentage points ahead of the CDU. The CDU took between 18% and 19% of the vote, a defeat that will almost certainly force the party to vacate city hall once coalition talks conclude. Meanwhile, the far-right AfD also expanded its presence in the capital, garnering approximately 16.3% of the Berlin vote.

在梅克伦堡-前波美拉尼亚州，德国选择党第三次在德国州级选举中位列第一。该党主张反移民立场，并展现出对克里姆林宫友好的政策倾向。尽管该党在得票上领先，但由于德国主要政党之间保持着拒绝与其合作的“防火墙”原则，选择党依然难以寻得组阁伙伴。得票位列第二的社民党籍现任州长曼努埃拉·施韦西希预计将与其他盟友展开合作，以组建联合政府继续执政。

In Mecklenburg-Western Pomerania, the Alternative for Germany finished in first place for the third time in a German state election, drawing support with an anti-immigration platform and Kremlin-friendly positions. Despite emerging as the largest party in the vote count, the AfD remains unlikely to take power because mainstream German parties maintain an established non-cooperation "firewall" against it. Incumbent Social Democratic governor Manuela Schwesig, whose party placed second in the vote, is expected to assemble the necessary partners to form a governing coalition and remain in office.

在首都柏林，左翼党由领袖埃利夫·埃拉尔普带队，通过主张应对住房危机以及呼吁没收大型企业房东房产等民生议题，赢得了广泛选民支持，并承诺让柏林重新变得可负担。与此同时，选择党联邦联合领导人阿丽斯·魏德尔向德国广播机构表示，默茨越是固执坚持现有路线，选择党就越能从中获益，并称默茨正在把基民盟一同拖入低谷。

In Berlin, Die Linke achieved broad voter momentum under leader Elif Eralp by campaigning directly on the city's housing affordability crisis, which included proposals to expropriate corporate landlords to restore living affordability. Meanwhile, federal AfD co-leader Alice Weidel argued to public broadcaster ARD that the more Chancellor Friedrich Merz digs in his heels to defend his current position, the more her party stands to benefit, asserting that Merz is dragging the Christian Democratic Union down with him.

投票结束数分钟后，默茨在基民盟柏林总部发表电视讲话。他直接承认当晚的选举结果对政治中间派而言是一场灾难，但迅速驳回了媒体以及党内关于其可能辞职的议论。默茨取消了原定前往纽约出席联合国大会并发表演讲的行程，选择留在柏林应对选举结果带来的后续冲击。

Minutes after voting closed on Sunday evening, Chancellor Friedrich Merz delivered a televised address from the Christian Democratic Union headquarters in Berlin. He conceded that the election outcome represented a disaster for the political center, but moved swiftly to shut down speculation from both the media and his own party regarding a potential resignation. Merz canceled his scheduled trip to New York to address the United Nations General Assembly, opting to remain in Berlin to manage the fallout from the state ballots.

在讲话中，默茨坚称自己将继续履行职责，推进由经济增长、税收以及福利改革组成的联邦施政方案。他将这些经济改革举措定性为抵御威权主义毒素渗透社会的解药，并强调落实改革方案需要骨气、坚定与耐心，自己将以基民盟主席和联邦总理的身份展示出这一决心。

During his appearance, Merz insisted that he will remain in office to push forward his federal legislative agenda focused on pro-growth economic measures, tax restructuring, and welfare overhauls. Framing these reforms as an antidote to the poison of authoritarianism spreading into society, Merz stated that implementing the package requires backbone, steadfastness, and patience, adding that he intends to demonstrate those qualities as CDU chairman and federal chancellor.

在9月20日两场选举之前两周，基民盟刚在萨克森-安哈尔特州遭遇严重失利，当时极右翼选择党以近44%的得票率大胜，而基民盟得票率仅获17%。接连出现的选举受挫伴随着持续低迷的民调支持率，使得基民盟内部对默茨领导地位的质疑迅速扩大。德国媒体报道称，当晚默茨在柏林党总部召集高层观看出口民调时，部分与会者对其坚持按原计划推进施政方针的强硬演讲提出了大声反对，认为这相当于漠视选民通过选票表达的明确呼声。

The regional setbacks on September 20 followed a severe defeat two weeks earlier in Saxony-Anhalt, where the far-right Alternative for Germany secured nearly 44% of the vote compared to just 17% for the CDU. The cumulative impact of these consecutive losses, coupled with persistently low approval ratings, has fueled internal dissent against Merz after 16 months in office. Local media reported that when Merz gathered CDU leadership at the party headquarters in Berlin to review exit polls, some attendees loudly objected to his defiant, full-steam-ahead speech, arguing that it ignored the clear message sent by voters at the ballot box.

两周前的惨败已在政坛引发关于通过“总理置换”（Kanzlertausch）提前撤换默茨的猜测。贝伦贝格银行首席经济学家霍尔格·施米丁表示，默茨正在为自己的政治生存而战，尽管默茨誓言留任以主导促增长改革，但要平息党内动荡并不容易。分析人士指出，在潜在继任者尚未采取明确行动且默茨本人拒绝退让的情况下，执政党内部暂时陷入了僵持状态。

The string of defeats has intensified political chatter regarding a potential midterm "chancellor swap" (Kanzlertausch). Holger Schmieding, chief economist at Berenberg bank, noted that Merz is fighting for his political survival, adding that while the chancellor intends to lead growth-oriented reforms, containing the unrest within his party will prove difficult. Observers point out that as long as no clear successor moves to challenge him and Merz refuses to step aside, the ruling party remains locked in a volatile political deadlock.