中东局势现转机：黎以达成十日停火，特朗普预测伊朗战争将终Middle East Pivot: Lebanon-Israel Truce Begins as Trump Predicts End to Iran War

以色列与黎巴嫩政府达成的10天停火协议已于周五午夜正式生效。此次停火旨在暂停过去六周内激烈的军事冲突，为更广泛的地区外交谈判创造空间。特朗普总统通过社交媒体确认了这一进展，并透露他在宣布消息前已与两国领导人进行了直接沟通。在贝鲁特，民众通过庆祝性枪声表达了对暂时告别战火的欣喜，但南部地区的流离失所者仍面临家园被毁和交通中断的严峻挑战。

A 10-day ceasefire between Israel and Lebanon officially took effect at midnight on Friday, aimed at pausing six weeks of intense hostilities to allow for broader regional diplomacy. President Trump confirmed the deal via social media, noting direct discussions with leaders from both nations prior to the announcement. While celebrations erupted in Beirut, displaced residents in the south face significant hurdles returning home due to destroyed infrastructure and ongoing security concerns.

尽管停火已生效，但局势依然脆弱。黎巴嫩军方在协议生效后不久便指责以色列实施了“侵略行为”，这种不确定性直接影响了亚太市场的风险偏好。白宫方面希望利用这10天的窗口期，不仅巩固黎以和平，更将其作为推动与伊朗达成全面协议的战略组成部分。

Despite the implementation, the situation remains fragile; the Lebanese army accused Israel of 'acts of aggression' shortly after the truce began, a development that dampened risk appetite in Asian markets. The White House intends to use this 10-day window not only to stabilize the border but as a strategic lever to push for a comprehensive deal involving Iran.

特朗普总统在拉斯维加斯的一次活动中公开表示，针对伊朗的军事行动“进展非常顺利”，并预测这场战争“应该很快就会结束”。他甚至暗示伊朗可能愿意在核武器问题上达成长期协议。这一乐观表态，结合黎以停火的消息，促使国际原油期货价格下跌超过1%，反映出市场对中东供应风险溢价的重新评估。

During an event in Las Vegas, President Trump stated that military operations against Iran are 'going along swimmingly' and predicted the war 'should be ending pretty soon.' He even suggested Iran might be willing to reach a long-term agreement regarding nuclear weapons. This optimism, coupled with the Lebanon truce, led to a more than 1% drop in crude oil futures as traders reassessed the geopolitical risk premium.

美国众议院周四以213对214票的极微弱差距，否决了一项要求总统在未经国会授权的情况下从伊朗撤军的决议。这次投票几乎完全按照党派界限进行，共和党内部表现出高度统一，仅有一名议员投下赞成票。这一结果确保了特朗普政府在处理伊朗冲突时拥有持续的军事行动自由，尽管民主党人誓言将继续通过立法手段挑战当前的战争授权。

The U.S. House of Representatives narrowly rejected a resolution on Thursday, by a vote of 213 to 214, that would have required the president to withdraw forces from Iran without specific congressional authorization. The vote fell almost entirely along party lines, demonstrating high GOP unity with only one Republican defector. This outcome preserves the administration's military flexibility in the Iran conflict, though Democrats vowed to continue challenging the war's legal basis through future legislation.

在因政府合法性争议中断七年后，国际货币基金组织（IMF）与世界银行宣布正式恢复与委内瑞拉的业务往来。这一决定标志着委内瑞拉在国际金融体系中的地位开始正常化。IMF将能够对委内瑞拉经济进行近20年来的首次全面评估，并可能最终解锁该国被冻结的数十亿美元特别提款权（SDR）。委内瑞拉代总统罗德里格斯称此为“外交的伟大成就”。

After a seven-year hiatus triggered by legitimacy disputes, the IMF and World Bank announced the resumption of formal dealings with Venezuela. This move marks a normalization of Venezuela's standing in the international financial system. The IMF will now be able to conduct its first full economic assessment of the country in nearly two decades, potentially unlocking billions in frozen Special Drawing Rights (SDRs). Acting President Delcy Rodriguez hailed the move as a 'great achievement' for Venezuelan diplomacy.

特朗普总统周四提名曾任副卫生总监的埃里卡·施瓦茨（Erica Schwartz）担任美国疾控中心（CDC）主任。施瓦茨拥有军事医疗和公共卫生管理的双重背景，她的提名旨在结束该机构长达数月的领导层动荡。若获得批准，她将需要在卫生部长肯尼迪主导的争议性卫生政策改革背景下，重建该机构的权威与沟通机制。

President Trump nominated former Deputy Surgeon General Erica Schwartz to lead the CDC on Thursday. With a background in both military medicine and public health administration, Schwartz is tasked with ending months of leadership instability at the agency. If confirmed, she will need to navigate controversial health policy reforms spearheaded by HHS Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr. while rebuilding the agency's authority and communication channels.

• 21岁歌手D4vd因涉嫌谋杀一名14岁少女在洛杉矶被捕，受害者遗体曾于其名下车辆中发现。
• 巴勒斯坦向法国移交了1982年巴黎犹太餐厅袭击案嫌疑人希沙姆·哈勃，终结了长达44年的追逃。
• 澳大利亚勋章获得者本·罗伯茨-史密斯因战争罪指控获准保释，以便其准备法律辩护。

• 21-year-old singer D4vd was arrested in Los Angeles on suspicion of murdering a 14-year-old girl whose remains were found in his vehicle.
• Palestinian authorities extradited Hicham Harb to France for his alleged role in the 1982 Paris Jewish restaurant attack, ending a 44-year manhunt.
• Decorated Australian soldier Ben Roberts-Smith was granted bail following war crime charges to allow him to prepare his legal defense.