武契奇在塞尔维亚议会选举中承认败选 反对派“学生名单”获多数席位Vucic Concedes Defeat as Student-Led Movement Wins Serbian Snap Election

在10月25日晚间投票结束仅约一个半小时后，武契奇在执政党塞尔维亚前进党总部发表公开讲话，向支持者明确宣布己方未能赢得选举。根据塞尔维亚官方选举委员会在统计全国96%投票站后公布的初步数据，“学生名单”共赢得224万张选票，得票率达到52.65%；塞尔维亚前进党获得167万张选票，得票率为39.2%。

Roughly an hour and a half after polling stations closed on the evening of October 25, Aleksandar Vucic addressed party supporters at the headquarters of the Serbian Progressive Party to formally concede the snap election. According to preliminary figures released by Serbia's election commission with 96% of voting precincts counted, the Student List won 2.24 million votes, capturing 52.65% of the ballots cast. In comparison, the ruling Serbian Progressive Party secured approximately 1.67 million votes, representing 39.2%.

依据双方获得的票数分配，拥有250个席位的国民议会版图发生重大重组。武契奇在讲话中引述初步统计结果指出，“学生名单”将占据135至140个席位，而塞尔维亚前进党预计获得约105席，其余党派均未跨过门槛进入议会。民调机构CESID与IPSOS联合公布的抽样统计同样显示，“学生名单”预计获得138个席位，塞尔维亚前进党获得104席。

The official tally projects a dramatic rebalancing of power across the 250-seat parliament. In his concession remarks, Vucic acknowledged that his opponents would take between 135 and 140 seats, while his party was projected to claim about 105 seats, noting that no other political groupings had cleared the threshold to enter the legislature. Independent projections aligned closely with these estimates, with a representative sample compiled by pollsters CESID and IPSOS calculating that the Student List would hold 138 seats compared to 104 seats for the Serbian Progressive Party.

塞尔维亚全国各地的投票站全天排起长队，本次议会提前选举的投票率接近70%，创下自1992年南斯拉夫解体以来的最高水平。投票期间多地气氛高度紧张，防暴警察封锁了贝尔格莱德选举委员会总部周围区域，特种警车部署在执政党支持者此前长期扎营的公园附近，多处街头也出现了成群的黑衣人员。

Voter turnout reached nearly 70% across Serbia, marking the country's highest electoral participation level since the breakup of Yugoslavia in 1992. Long lines extended from polling stations in cities and towns throughout Sunday as 6.4 million registered voters took part in the snap parliamentary contest. Voting took place under heightened security measures: police clad in anti-riot gear established cordons around the election commission headquarters in central Belgrade, specialized vehicles were positioned near a park where government loyalists had camped for months, and groups of men dressed in black assembled across parts of the capital.

在武契奇公开发表讲话确认败选后，贝尔格莱德、诺维萨德等城市的市中心迅速聚集起大量庆祝人群。支持者挥舞国旗、燃放烟花并在街头跳舞，鸣笛车队穿过街道，人群高呼“胜利”与“亚历山大下台”。议会附近的亲政府营地被拆除，防暴警察卡车在人群欢呼声中撤离现场，学生代表则在总部向集会者呼吁保持和平与克制。

Following Vucic's public concession speech, crowds filled the central squares of Belgrade, Novi Sad, and other regional cities to celebrate the outcome. Motorists driving cars draped in national flags sounded their horns through urban thoroughfares as demonstrators set off fireworks, danced, and chanted slogans including "victory" and "Aleksandar is gone." Pro-government encampments situated near parliament were dismantled as riot police vehicles withdrew, while movement leaders urged peaceful celebrations.

席卷塞尔维亚并最终赢得议会多数的抗议运动，起源于2024年11月1日诺维萨德火车站发生的一起严重安全事故。当天，该车站入口处的一座混凝土遮雨棚突然坍塌，导致16人遇难。公众与遇难者家属指责施工中存在系统性腐败、裙带关系与严重疏忽，随后在全国范围内掀起了长达近两年的持续示威。武契奇及其政府在事发后多次将走上街头的示威者称为“封锁者”，并公开指控他们蓄意破坏国家稳定。

The opposition coalition that reshaped Serbia's parliamentary map originated in the public fallout from a deadly infrastructure collapse at the Novi Sad railway station on November 1, 2024. The failure of a concrete entrance canopy resulted in 16 deaths, prompting widespread accusations of systemic corruption, cronyism, and official negligence surrounding state-backed renovation work. In response to the tragedy, students launched street protests that expanded over nearly two years into some of the country's largest demonstrations since 2000. Aleksandar Vucic repeatedly labeled the participants "blockaders" and publicly accused the demonstrators of attempting to destabilize Serbia.

最初由高校青年发起的要求追责集会，逐步发展为涵盖广泛社会阶层的全国性政治联盟“学生名单”。诺维萨德大学医学院教授伊利亚·塞尔达诺维奇出任该运动的领军候选人，贝尔格莱德大学教授拉多米尔·赛契奇等人以及众多医生和产业工人也相继加入。该组织建立起系统的竞选纲领，公开承诺上台后将严肃打击公共领域腐败、实现国家行政机构去政治化，并全面恢复公民的基本权利。

Over time, the campus-based protest movement broadened beyond student circles to incorporate university faculty, healthcare professionals, and organized workers, culminating in the formal creation of the Student List political platform. The campaign was spearheaded by Ilija Srdanovic, a professor at the University of Novi Sad's Faculty of Medicine, alongside other prominent academics including Belgrade University professor Radomir Saicic. Operating on an explicit reform platform, the movement promised to dismantle corrupt state procurement networks, remove partisan control from public institutions, and safeguard fundamental civic rights.

现年56岁的武契奇塑造了塞尔维亚十余年的政局走向。他出生于贝尔格莱德，毕业于贝尔格莱德大学法学院，于1993年加入沃伊斯拉夫·舍舍利领导的极右翼塞尔维亚激进党并投身政坛。在1990年代，其政治表态带有强烈的民族主义色彩；进入执政时期后，他塑造了务实领导人的形象，在维持与欧盟、俄罗斯和中国交往的同时，近年亦逐步加强与以色列的联系。他在担任两届总统期间主导政局，并在无法寻求第三任期的情况下于上月辞任总统，试图带领执政党赢得议会多数重掌总理职位，但最终未能成功。

Aleksandar Vucic, who shaped Serbian politics for more than a decade, entered public life in 1993 by joining Vojislav Seselj's ultranationalist Serbian Radical Party after graduating from the University of Belgrade's Faculty of Law. While his early career in the 1990s featured hardline nationalist rhetoric, he subsequently cultivated the persona of a pragmatic leader, maintaining diplomatic relations with the European Union, Russia, and China alongside increasingly close ties with Israel. Barred from seeking a third presidential term, Vucic resigned the presidency last month to lead his party's parliamentary campaign in a bid to reclaim the prime ministership he had relinquished in 2017, an effort that concluded without a legislative majority.

在10月25日晚间的败选讲话中，武契奇在承认对手获胜的同时，将失利原因归咎于外部势力干涉和国内媒体报道。武契奇指责塞尔维亚独立媒体持续对其进行负面宣传，并公开宣称数个未具名的欧洲国家存在直接干预行为。此外，他还公开指控“美国深层政府”参与幕后运作，声称相关外部网络试图借此促成政权更迭。

During his concession remarks on election night, Vucic coupled his acknowledgment of the Student List's victory with allegations regarding the forces behind his defeat. Addressing supporters at his party's headquarters, he blamed Serbia's independent news outlets for orchestrating sustained hostility against his government. Vucic also alleged meddling by unnamed European countries and asserted that an "American deep state" had actively intervened in the contest to orchestrate his political removal.