赖清德双十演说宣布创纪录防务预算 强调旨在“威慑战争”Taiwan President Lai Pledges Record Defense Spending to Deter War

在台北总统府外举行的双十庆典集会上，台湾地区领导人赖清德向现场数千名民众和外国使节发表演说。在演说开始前，台军战机与两架悬挂巨幅旗帜的支奴干直升机飞越台北上空。赖清德在演说中明确阐述了防务预算的战略考量，指出台当局为2027年编列了创纪录的1.1万亿新台币（约345亿美元）防务资金，该项开支占当地GDP的3%以上。他向集会人群表示，增加防务投资的核心目的不是为了挑衅，而是为了通过强化防御能力达到威慑战争的效果。

Speaking outside the Presidential Office in Taipei before thousands of attendees and foreign diplomats, Taiwan President Lai Ching-te delivered his annual National Day address following a flyover by fighter jets and two Chinook helicopters carrying oversized flags. Lai outlined the strategic rationale behind his administration's plan to earmark a record NT$1.1 trillion ($34.5 billion) for defense spending in 2027, an amount exceeding 3% of the island's gross domestic product. He told the gathering that the purpose of scaling up defense investments is not to provoke adversaries, but rather to deter conflict by bolstering self-defense capabilities.

赖清德在演讲中强调，台湾珍视和平且不会放弃自由，既不寻求霸权，也不寻求支配他人。他指出，和平不能仅靠单方面愿望维持，容忍也不能成为侵略者进一步蚕食的借口。面对持续的安全压力，赖清德表明台方对两岸交流始终持开放态度，但绝不会接受附属地位。他同时表示，台湾展现的防务决心不仅关乎面对扩张时的自身生存，也关乎国际社会是否依然坚守武力不能凌驾于规则之上的原则，并呼吁亚太地区的民主政体携手维护区域和平与稳定。

During his address, Lai declared that Taiwan cherishes peace, will not surrender its freedom, and neither seeks hegemony nor attempts to dominate others. He argued that peace cannot rely solely on passive wishes and that tolerance must not serve as a pretext for aggressors to encroach further. Addressing cross-strait ties, Lai stated that while Taiwan remains open to dialogue, it will firmly reject any subordinate status. He added that the island's resolve concerns both its own survival in the face of authoritarian expansion and the principle that force cannot override international rules, urging regional democracies across the Asia-Pacific to cooperate in preserving stability.

针对赖清德的双十演说内容，中国国务院台湾事务办公室随后发表声明予以强烈谴责。国台办指出，赖清德的讲话“漠视事实、歪曲真相、误导舆论，暴露出其险恶图谋”，批评其“顽固坚持‘台独’分裂立场”，并借机夸大所谓的“大陆威胁”。北京方面长期以来始终认定台湾是中国领土不可分割的一部分，将赖清德定性为“分裂分子”，不仅拒绝与其开展对话谈判，而且从未放弃采取武力手段实现对台湾的控制。

China's Taiwan Affairs Office issued a statement condemning Lai Ching-te's address, stating that the remarks 'disregard facts, distort the truth, mislead the public, and reveal ulterior motives.' The office stated that Lai 'stubbornly clung to "Taiwan independence" separatist thinking' and exaggerated what it described as a threat from the mainland. Beijing, which views democratically governed Taiwan as part of its territory and has never renounced the use of force to bring the island under its control, labels Lai a 'separatist' and has consistently rebuffed his invitations to hold bilateral talks.

国台办在声明中进一步重申其核心政治原则，强调“世界上只有一个中国，台湾是中国的一部分——这才是台湾海峡真正的现状”。该机构同时表明，台湾的前途“能够且必须由包括台湾同胞在内的全体中国人民共同决定”。尽管赖清德多次提出恢复交流并要求北京尊重台湾民众的生存权利，大陆方面依然坚决抵制任何分裂主张，回绝了台方所有的对话接触倡议。

Reaffirming Beijing's foundational stance on cross-strait sovereignty, the Taiwan Affairs Office stated that 'there is only one China in the world, and Taiwan is part of China – this is the true status quo in the Taiwan Strait.' The statement added that Taiwan's future 'can and must be decided jointly by all the Chinese people, including our compatriots in Taiwan.' While Lai declared an openness to cross-strait dialogue and insisted that Beijing respect the right of Taiwan's 23 million residents to exist, Chinese authorities maintained their rejection of engagement under terms conflicting with their sovereign claims.

赖清德在演说中明确指出，北京方面持续通过军事活动与灰色地带战术施加压力，试图借此改变台海现状。所谓灰色地带手段，指的是未达到公开战争标准的常态化胁迫行为。面对此类常态化施压，台湾防务部门周六上午通报了最新军事动态：在截至周六上午6时的24小时监测周期内，共侦测到21架次大陆军机与7艘海军舰艇在台海周边活动。其中，有13架次军机直接逾越了曾作为两岸非官方默契界线的台湾海峡中线，并进入台湾防空识别区。

In his speech, Lai Ching-te specifically warned that Beijing is applying pressure through military maneuvers and grey-zone activities in an attempt to alter the cross-strait status quo, referring to coercive measures designed to stop short of open warfare. Highlighting the ongoing operational friction, Taiwan's Ministry of National Defence reported that 21 Chinese military aircraft and seven naval vessels were detected operating around the island during the 24-hour monitoring period ending at 6 a.m. on Saturday. Thirteen of those aircraft crossed the Taiwan Strait median line—which long served as an unofficial boundary between both sides—and entered Taiwan's air defense identification zone.

大陆军方在台海周边海空域的实战化部署此前曾多次因政治与军售动向而升级。2024年赖清德发表其首场双十演说后，大陆曾迅速在台湾周边组织环台演训，但2025年并未举行同类演习。大陆最近一次在台海附近举行大规模演练发生在去年12月下旬，当时华盛顿宣布了总值110亿美元的史上最大单笔对台军售案。目前，大陆军力规模远超台湾，并持续扩充包含隐形战机、航空母舰及各类导弹在内的武器装备库，促使台方加速推进自身防务现代化。

Chinese military activity around the island has previously fluctuated following major political events and arms transactions. Beijing staged war games around Taiwan shortly after Lai's inaugural National Day address in 2024, though it did not repeat those drills the following year. Its most recent military exercises near Taiwan occurred in late December, triggered by the announcement of an $11 billion US weapons package, the largest ever approved for Taipei. As China continues expanding an arsenal that includes stealth fighter jets, aircraft carriers, and missile networks, Taiwan faces a substantial disparity in military size, prompting its ongoing defense push.

美国政府对赖清德维护台海和平稳定的承诺表示欢迎。一名美国政府高级官员就此指出，针对中国大陆而言，“例行演说不能成为采取侵略或胁迫行动的理由”。尽管美国在近50年前将正式外交关系从台北转至北京，但华盛顿依然是台湾最重要的安全后盾。华盛顿与台北方面的官员多次重申，在特朗普总统治下，美国对台政策保持不变。不过，特朗普在5月于北京同中国国家主席习近平会晤后，曾提出可能将对台军售作为同中方谈判的筹码，该言论当时引发广泛关切。目前，台湾正在等待特朗普正式批准价值140亿美元的武器销售清单，其中包括美制爱国者防空系统。

The United States welcomed Lai Ching-te's stated commitment to maintaining peace and stability across the Taiwan Strait. A senior US administration official noted with reference to China that 'a routine speech is no justification for aggressive or coercive actions.' While Washington shifted formal diplomatic recognition from Taipei to Beijing nearly 50 years ago, the US remains Taiwan's primary security backer. Officials in Washington and Taipei have maintained that American policy regarding Taiwan has not changed under President Donald Trump. However, Trump prompted international concern in May when he suggested, following talks with Chinese President Xi Jinping in Beijing, that arms sales to Taipei could serve as a bargaining chip in negotiations. Taiwan is currently waiting for Trump's formal sign-off on a $14 billion arms package that features US-manufactured Patriot air defense systems.

赖清德办公室表示，多位外国要员出席了周六的庆祝活动并表达祝贺，其中包括斯威士兰国王姆斯瓦蒂三世以及美国印第安纳州副州长迈卡·贝克威思。斯威士兰是台湾在非洲唯一的正式邦交国。与此同时，一个日本议员代表团也前往台湾参与了双十庆典。在赖清德发表讲话前，中美两国元首曾于9月在华盛顿举行高层会晤，当时贸易与人工智能议题占据了议程主导地位，而涉及台湾的分歧则仅在闭门闭席环境下进行了讨论。

Diplomatic guests joined the celebrations in Taipei, with Lai's office confirming attendance by Eswatini King Mswati III—whose nation represents Taiwan's sole remaining diplomatic partner in Africa—and Indiana Lieutenant Governor Micah Beckwith. A delegation of Japanese lawmakers also visited to take part in the event. The assembly of foreign dignitaries followed a summit between Trump and Xi in Washington in September, where trade and artificial intelligence dominated public discussions while cross-strait issues were handled exclusively behind closed doors.