Polymarket因美军飞行员搜救博彩引发争议并公开道歉Polymarket Apologizes and Removes Wagers on U.S. Pilot Rescue Mission

预测市场平台Polymarket于周六正式发布道歉声明，并撤回了涉及在伊朗失踪的美军飞行员搜救行动的相关博彩市场。此前，一架美国F-15E“打击鹰”（Strike Eagle）战斗机于周五在伊朗上空被击落，引发了美伊双方军队对失踪人员的大规模搜救。Polymarket平台曾允许用户就失踪飞行员何时能被确认获救进行金钱投注，这一行为在社交媒体和政界引发了巨大的道德争议。随着政治压力的迅速积聚，该平台最终选择关闭相关讨论区并删除投注页面，这反映出预测市场在处理涉及人命安全和敏感军事行动时的监管与伦理困境。 此次事件发生的背景是美伊关系高度紧张之际。据美国官员证实，失事飞机上的两名机组人员中，已有一人成功获救，但另一名飞行员目前仍然下落不明。Polymarket的这一举动不仅引发了公众对“灾难博彩”的批判，也引起了华盛顿立法者的注意。在预测市场逐渐走向主流的背景下，如何界定合法预测与不道德投机之间的界限，已成为该行业面临的紧迫挑战。此次撤回博彩市场的决定，被视为该平台在日益严峻的监管环境下试图平息舆论愤怒的紧急举措。

Prediction market platform Polymarket issued a formal apology on Saturday and removed a series of wagers related to the rescue mission of U.S. military service members in Iran. The move followed the downing of a U.S. F-15E Strike Eagle fighter jet over Iranian territory on Friday, which prompted an ongoing search by both U.S. and Iranian forces for a missing airman. Polymarket had hosted a market allowing users to bet on the specific day the U.S. would confirm the rescue of the two-person crew, a practice that sparked immediate ethical backlash. Amid mounting political pressure, the platform deleted the forum and associated wagers, highlighting the intensifying scrutiny over the moral boundaries of decentralized betting platforms during active military crises. The controversy unfolds against a backdrop of heightened tensions between the U.S. and Iran. According to U.S. officials, while one crew member from the downed aircraft has been successfully rescued, the other remains missing. Polymarket’s decision to monetize the uncertainty of a life-or-death military operation drew sharp criticism from the public and caught the attention of lawmakers in Washington. As prediction markets move further into the mainstream, the incident underscores a growing challenge for the industry: defining the line between legitimate data forecasting and unethical speculation on human tragedy. The platform's swift removal of the market is seen as an emergency effort to mitigate reputational damage and stave off potential regulatory repercussions.