巴黎上诉法院将对勒庞案宣判，或决定其2027年总统参选资格Paris Appeals Court to Rule on Marine Le Pen, Threatening 2027 Presidential Bid
巴黎上诉法院定于2026年7月7日13:30对玛丽娜·勒庞及国民联盟其他成员涉嫌挪用欧洲议会资金案作出二审判决，这一裁决将直接决定这位57岁的极右翼领袖是否能参加2027年4月至5月举行的法国总统选举。勒庞此前在2025年3月31日的一审中被判有罪，因被认定在2004至2016年间挪用欧洲议会资金支付党内员工薪资，被判处五年内不得担任公职并处以居家监禁。如果上诉法院维持原判，目前在民调中领先且因现任总统马克龙无法连任而迎来最佳夺冠契机的勒庞将可能被剥夺参选资格。勒庞曾表示，即使法院仅判处其佩戴电子手环，只要这限制了她自由开展竞选活动，她也将无法参选；若最终被禁选，她计划全力支持其年轻副手若尔当·巴尔代拉代表国民联盟参选。
A Paris appeals court is scheduled to rule on July 7, 2026, at 13:30 local time on Marine Le Pen and other National Rally members regarding the alleged misuse of European Parliament funds, a decision that will determine whether she can run in the 2027 presidential election. Le Pen was convicted on March 31, 2025, and barred from holding public office for five years for embezzling European Parliament funds between 2004 and 2016 to pay party employees. If the appeals court upholds the conviction, the 57-year-old far-right leader, who currently leads the polls for the April and May 2027 election, will likely be barred from standing. Le Pen has stated that even if the court only orders her to wear an electronic bracelet, she will not run if it prevents her from campaigning freely. If barred, she plans to support her young protégé Jordan Bardella as the party's candidate.
01关键裁决时刻临近A Crucial Ruling Approaches
巴黎上诉法院定于周二下午1:30开庭宣判，这一裁决将决定玛丽娜·勒庞是否能参加2027年法国总统大选。除了勒庞本人之外，此案还涉及另外11名被告，其中包括她所属的极右翼政党国民联盟。法庭预计将逐一宣读对每位被告的判决结果，整个宣判过程预计将持续数小时。在判决结果公布后，勒庞预计将在巴黎时间晚上8点左右的黄金时段发表声明，而国民联盟内部以及外界也预计将对此作出密集反应。
The Paris Court of Appeal is scheduled to convene on Tuesday at 1:30 PM local time to deliver a crucial ruling that will determine whether Marine Le Pen can stand in the 2027 French presidential election. In addition to Le Pen, the appeals case involves 11 other plaintiffs, which include her political party, the National Rally. Legal experts expect the reading of the verdicts for each individual plaintiff to last several hours. Following the court's decision, Le Pen is expected to make a prime-time statement at around 8:00 PM Paris time, with widespread political reactions anticipated, particularly from her political allies.
此次上诉判决的结果不仅关乎勒庞个人的政治前途，更被视为实际上拉开了2027年法国总统大选的序幕。该大选的第一轮投票定于2027年4月18日举行，决胜轮投票则定于5月2日举行。由于现任总统马克龙无法再次连任，且勒庞目前在民调中处于领先地位，因此上诉法院的这一决定对法国未来的政治格局具有重要影响。
The upcoming appeal verdict is widely seen as the starting pistol for the 2027 presidential race, with the first round of voting scheduled for April 18, 2027, and the run-off set for May 2. Because incumbent President Emmanuel Macron is constitutionally barred from running for a consecutive term, and with Le Pen currently leading in the polls, the court's decision on whether to uphold her previous embezzlement conviction carries immense weight for the future of French politics.
02指控背景与一审判决Background of Charges and Initial Conviction
针对玛丽娜·勒庞的指控集中在2004至2016年间涉嫌挪用欧洲议会资金的案件。2025年3月，巴黎刑事法院裁定勒庞处于其政党用于挪用这些资金的“欺诈体系”的核心。法院认定，被挪用的资金总额达290万欧元（约合332万美元），这些资金被用于支付国民联盟的党内员工薪资，而非用于议员助理。不过，根据相关证据，起诉书指控勒庞在2004至2016年担任欧洲议会议员期间，涉嫌挪用了140万欧元的欧洲议会资金来支付其政党员工的薪水。
The case against Marine Le Pen centers on allegations of siphoning European Parliament funds during her tenure as a Member of the European Parliament from 2004 to 2017. In March 2025, a Paris criminal court ruled that Le Pen was at the heart of a fraudulent system used by her party to divert these funds. While the court found that the total siphoned money associated with the party's system amounted to 2.9 million euros (about 3.32 million dollars), the specific charges against Le Pen herself involved embezzling 1.4 million euros in European Parliament funds between 2004 and 2016 to pay National Rally party employees instead of parliamentary assistants.
作为2025年3月31日一审判决的结果，法院判处勒庞五年内不得担任公职，并判处其居家监禁。如果上诉法院在周二维持这一原判，她将被禁止参加2027年总统大选。勒庞在整个诉讼过程中一直坚称自己清白，并因此提起上诉，从而引发了目前等待最终判决的局面。
As a result of the initial conviction on March 31, 2025, the court sentenced Le Pen to a five-year ban from holding public office and ordered her to be placed under house arrest. If the appeals court upholds this verdict on Tuesday, she will likely be barred from running in the 2027 presidential election. Le Pen has maintained her innocence throughout the legal proceedings, leading to the appeal that now awaits a final decision from the Paris Court of Appeal.
玛丽娜·勒庞挪用公款案诉讼历程Chronology of Marine Le Pen's Embezzlement Case
梳理勒庞涉嫌挪用欧洲议会资金案的关键时间节点，展示其如何影响其2027年总统参选资格。
Trace the key milestones of Le Pen's embezzlement case to show how it impacts her eligibility for the 2027 presidential election.
玛丽娜·勒庞及国民联盟其他成员涉嫌在此期间挪用欧洲议会资金，用于支付该党在法国本土的助理薪资。
Marine Le Pen and other National Rally members allegedly embezzled European Parliament funds during this period to pay party assistants working in France.
一审法院裁定勒庞罪名成立，判处其五年剥夺公职资格。勒庞随后对此裁决提出上诉。
A lower court convicted Le Pen, imposing a five-year ban on running for public office. Le Pen subsequently appealed the ruling.
巴黎上诉法院定于周二对该案做出二审判决，这一裁决将直接决定勒庞是否能参加2027年法国总统大选。
The Paris appeals court is scheduled to issue its verdict on Tuesday, directly determining whether Le Pen can run in the 2027 French presidential election.
03勒庞的参选态度与竞选限制Le Pen's Stance on Candidacy and Campaigning
针对这起可能终结其政治生涯的诉讼，现年57岁的玛丽娜·勒庞在宣判前夕明确表达了自己对参选的态度。她在上周三接受LCI电视台采访时表示，如果法院允许她参选，她一定会参加竞选，但前提是她必须能够自由地开展竞选活动。她强调，即使上诉法院最终仅维持让她佩戴电子手环居家监禁的判决，只要这种身体上的限制导致她无法在全国范围内自由奔走和发声，她也将无法参加2027年的总统选举。
Ahead of the crucial ruling, the 57-year-old far-right leader Marine Le Pen clarified her stance on her potential candidacy under court-imposed restrictions. Speaking to the LCI television channel on Wednesday of last week, Le Pen stated that she would stand as a candidate provided she is able to campaign. However, she emphasized that even if the appeals court only upholds the order for her to wear an electronic bracelet, she will not run if the restriction effectively prevents her from campaigning freely.
勒庞指出，如果候选人被允许参选却在实际上被剥夺了自由竞选的权利，那么这种参选在现实中是无法实现的。作为一名曾三次角逐总统宝座的资深政治人物，她深知竞选活动的自由度对选举结果的影响。因此，上诉法院对居家监禁和佩戴电子手环等限制性措施的裁决细节，将与是否直接剥夺其被选举权一样，成为决定她是否退选的关键因素。
Le Pen explained that being allowed to run while being practically barred from free campaigning would make her candidacy impossible. For a veteran politician who has already run for the presidency three times, the physical freedom to travel and connect with voters is essential. Consequently, the court's decision regarding the electronic bracelet and house arrest will be just as decisive for her political future as a direct ban on holding public office.
04对2027年总统大选及国民联盟的潜在影响Potential Impact on the 2027 Election and National Rally
如果上诉法院维持原判并剥夺玛丽娜·勒庞的参选资格，这不仅可能为她长期的政治生涯画上句号，也将重塑2027年法国总统大选的格局。由于现任总统马克龙依法无法再次连任，且勒庞目前在民调中处于领先地位，外界普遍认为2027年大选是她三次折戟后夺取总统宝座的最佳契机。一旦她被排除在候选人之外，法国政坛的权力天平将发生剧烈变动。
If the appeals court upholds the conviction and bars Marine Le Pen from running, it could bring down the curtain on her long political career and fundamentally reshape the 2027 French presidential race. Because incumbent President Emmanuel Macron is constitutionally barred from running again, and with Le Pen currently leading in the polls, the 2027 election is widely viewed as her best chance yet of winning the presidency after three previous defeats. Her exclusion from the ballot would trigger a major shift in the French political landscape.
面对可能被禁选的局面，勒庞上周末在其选区加来海峡省的利埃万向支持者表示，如果司法机关最终禁止她参选，她将把全部精力转向支持其年轻副手若尔当·巴尔代拉。作为勒庞的政治门生，巴尔代拉将在她无法参选时代表国民联盟出征。分析指出，无论判决结果如何，其引发的连锁反应都将对国民联盟的未来走向以及整个法国的政治版图产生重要影响。
Confronting the possibility of being barred, Le Pen told supporters over the weekend in Liévin, located in her constituency in the Pas-de-Calais, that if the judiciary prevents her from running, she will instead devote her energy to supporting her young protégé Jordan Bardella. As Le Pen's lieutenant, Bardella is poised to stand as the National Rally's candidate in her place. The court's decision and the subsequent reactions, particularly from Bardella and other party members, are expected to have significant consequences for the future of the nationalist right and France as a whole.
